Balls Street Journal QUAGMIRE: The Truth About Todayıs Iraq - By Carl Worden

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26JUN2003 QUAGMIRE: The Truth About Todayıs Iraq - Carl Worden

Just as I predicted, the war on Iraq has not resulted in what the Bush Administration promised would be a quick and decisive victory. I donıt think you can call the relentless and almost daily killing of American and British soldiers occupying Iraq to be a quick and decisive victory. The exact same thing happened in Viet Nam, and as I recall, we ultimately lost that war too.

Saddam Hussein, in spite of his other faults, held sway over his people with an iron hand. But the incongruity of his particular dictatorial regime was that Saddam made certain just about every Iraqi household was armed with fully automatic AK-47 rifles, rocket propelled grenades, plenty of ammunition and Saddam solidly supported and enforced the Iraqi peopleıs freedom of religion, including Christianity. Saddam was also a solid promoter of education for the masses.

Every other dictator Iıve studied disarmed his people as soon as the opportunity presented itself to thwart efforts at violent overthrow. Every other dictator bestowed upon his populace a state religion ­ or no religion. Few if any dictators in history promoted the education of the populace, for fear they might recognize the tyranny by which their government had established and maintained itself.

Iraq, under Saddam Hussein, was a sustained and ordered society, even if a level of brutality was used from time-to-time to preserve it.

So now we, the Coalition Forces, are ³liberating² Iraq to establish some sort of Democratic government, because our leaders are too ill informed to recall that a Constitutional Republic is superior. Neither form of government will work in Iraq anyway, because the established and opposing factions that existed, and have always existed during Saddamıs iron rein, are now loosed to exercise what they call their right to freedom. Their attitude is, ³Thanks for the help with Saddam, now get the hell out, or weıll blow you out!²

Theyıve got the guns and other weapons to do it, and they are doing it.

The truth is that Saddamıs ³loyalists² arenıt the only ones killing our soldiers one-by-one, and contrary to White House assertions and promises, Saddamıs demise wonıt stop the killing. They claim that if Saddam is captured or killed, all resistance will end. They are in for yet another disappointment, and so are the Coalition forces.

If Saddam were captured yesterday, and publicly hanged and quartered for all to see on Iraqi television today, the killing of American and British forces would continue. Instead of pacifying the people of Iraq with the removal of Saddam, we have opened a hornetıs nest of rival factions, who are immediately committed to expelling our Coalition forces, followed by the establishment of a new government that only God knows will eventually prevail.

This isnıt a simple case where Saddam is removed and order and Democracy is established. The people of Iraq are not like us. They understand and accept ruling regimes, to the extent that they will fight and die to establish a regime as brutal and just as harsh as Saddamıs, only this time to the advantage of some other faction. It is their nature and it is their culture and thatıs just the way it is. Further, theyıve got the weapons to eventually make it happen. They are going to defeat the Coalition one dead soldier at a time, just like I warned you they would.

I donıt know if you saw the movie, ³Enemy At The Gates², but it is an excellent example of what is happening in Iraq right now. Theyıve got a super-sniper they call ³The Hunter², who is using the very supportive Iraqi population to hide in while he carefully picks his kills. Unless he makes a really stupid mistake or just has a run of bad luck, it is virtually impossible to nail a sniper like The Hunter. His successes are becoming folklore among the common people, and others are quickly adopting his example and tactics -- which is why the random killings of Coalition soldiers seem to be on the increase.

The other problem is that our Coalition forces arenıt winning the public relations war in Iraq either. In fact, their frustration at being casually picked off here and there makes them more likely to commit war crimes against the common citizens they encounter on the street. It comes down to pure survival in an atmosphere of constant dread and random, instantaneous death, and the common Iraqi on the street is killed just as easily as the guy shooting at you. The same thing happened on the city streets of Saigon. As a result, a number of Coalition soldiers have been killed by outraged Iraqi citizens in response to the soldiersı harsh treatment of Iraqis on the street. Itıs turning into the descending spiral of violence I predicted, and the only losers will ultimately be the Coalition.

Just like Viet Nam, we canıt seem to do anything right in Iraq, and weıd be smart to get out right now, but we wonıt. We never do. We Americans never learn anything. Viet Nam is still a Communist nation, and Iraq will never become a sustained democracy, no matter how much American blood is shed there. Mark my words.

Carl F. Worden
Liaison & Intelligence Officer
Southern Oregon Militia


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